Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.443513 3.657313 3.883294 4.140929 4.427737 4.738645 5.103108
2025-10-05 3.093630 3.394886 3.731297 4.138738 4.624322 5.191774 5.916299
2025-10-12 2.914552 3.270664 3.683860 4.206720 4.862879 5.676876 6.793853
2025-10-19 2.779533 3.173530 3.644625 4.262243 5.071492 6.128984 7.679014
2025-10-26 2.653629 3.071584 3.583512 4.274468 5.213424 6.497498 8.496782
2025-11-02 2.520261 2.948091 3.481994 4.219366 5.251391 6.717244 9.122278
2025-11-09 2.386572 2.814474 3.356274 4.118241 5.210262 6.810475 9.555780
2025-11-16 2.284500 2.714859 3.267341 4.058018 5.217784 6.971153 10.121177
2025-11-23 2.225860 2.667809 3.243984 4.085035 5.352119 7.339601 11.117414
2025-11-30 2.167800 2.617869 3.212734 4.096691 5.461509 7.677800 12.129619
2025-12-07 2.070653 2.511010 3.097500 3.977794 5.356101 7.639802 12.381206
2025-12-14 1.990174 2.423450 3.004917 3.886509 5.286571 7.654854 12.746104
2025-12-21 1.927046 2.358955 2.944235 3.843155 5.297273 7.825139 13.522592
2025-12-28 1.881584 2.317147 2.913962 3.844397 5.382334 8.144754 14.747121
2026-01-04 1.857157 2.303141 2.922252 3.904747 5.571657 8.689519 16.731383
2026-01-11 1.831153 2.285519 2.923889 3.953883 5.745211 9.230914 18.955187
2026-01-18 1.796334 2.253816 2.902918 3.964694 5.850150 9.646189 21.017711
2026-01-25 1.747888 2.200805 2.847735 3.915947 5.840395 9.809393 22.340225
2026-02-01 1.691575 2.134711 2.770381 3.826356 5.746637 9.770215 22.933482
2026-02-08 1.647529 2.085123 2.716279 3.772925 5.717830 9.878422 24.159258
2026-02-15 1.625253 2.066466 2.708470 3.796902 5.840521 10.366600 27.263582
2026-02-22 1.600805 2.043758 2.693370 3.807243 5.936813 10.808156 30.566399
2026-03-01 1.549951 1.980714 2.613599 3.701656 5.790728 10.606328 30.542192